The US Department of Agriculture has said that India’s rice production may fall by four million metric tons compared to last year, a drop of 2.94%.
While the yield for 2022-2023 was 136 million metric tons, the USDA’s projected yield for September 2023-2024 is 132 million metric tons. August throughput is 134 million metric tons.
The 2023-2024 yield includes kharif and rabi production, both, and also rice produced during the summer months, Business Standard has noted in its forecast report.
According to USDA forecasts, harvested rice area in India is 47.0 million hectares (mha), unchanged from last month and down 1% from last year. The yield (raw) is expected to reach 4.21 tonnes per hectare, 1% less than last month and the previous year.
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The 2023 southwest monsoon will be the weakest in the last eight years. The report indicates that, in the case of India, the rainfall deficit was at least 8% below the long-term average on September 1. Rainfall has been erratic for much of this monsoon, with August being one of the driest months on record.
The 2023-2024 yield includes kharif and rabi production, both, and also rice produced during the summer months, Business Standard has said in its forecast report
“The two areas of concern are the eastern Indo-Gangetic plain, consisting of Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal and Odisha, and the northwestern states of Punjab and Haryana,” the report states.
The Indo-Gangetic Plain, which accounts for about 30% of kharif rice, recorded below-normal rainfall as the crop entered the vegetative phase in August. However, in Punjab and Haryana, farmers experienced excess rainfall and had to replant in late July, the USDA notes.
Article republished from The Wire within the framework of an agreement between both parties to share content. Link to original article: https://thewire.in/agriculture/usda-india-rabi-kharif-rice-less-august-monsoon
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Source: https://reporteasia.com/economia/desarrollo-sostenible/2023/09/16/descenso-produccion-arroz-india/
