Hot Moments: FED President Jerome Powell speaks live after the interest rate decision! Here is all the things to follow

FED President Jerome Powell is holding an important press conference after the Fed keeps the interest rates constant.

Here are all the important sections of Powell’s live broadcast:

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• The economy is strong.
• The FED balance sheet made a technical decision to slow down the reduction rate.
• Surveys show that economic uncertainty has increased.
• Labor market conditions are solid.
• Inflation is still a bit high.
• Time will show how uncertainty will affect the economic appearance.
• The unemployment rate was in a narrow range last year.
• The latest signs show that consumer spending slows down.
• Inflation has made progress, but it is still above the target.
• The questionnaire shows that customs duties lead inflation expectations.
• Some short -term inflation indicators tend to rise.
• There is a high level of uncertainty about new policies and their effects.
• Fed does not need to rush to change the policy stance.
• We should focus on separating signals from noise.
• The new government imposes significant policy changes and the key point is the net impact.
• If the economy remains strong, we can maintain the policy restriction longer.
• If the labor market is weak, we can relax the policy if necessary.
• We have seen some signs that tightening in the money market has increased.
• Politics does not progress on a predetermined path.
• The framework review is currently focused on labor market dynamics and full employment targets.

However, according to the Dot Plot of the FED, which was announced with the interest decision:

• Among the 19 authorities, no interest rate reductions were made in 2025 (1 in December),
• 4 Authorized in 2025, the cumulative interest rate reduction is 25 basis points, ie 1 interest rate reduction (3 in December),
• 9 officials believe that the cumulative interest rate reduction should be 50 basis points in 2025, ie 2 interest rate cuts (10 in December),
• 2 Authorized Believes that the cumulative interest rate reduction should be 75 basis points in 2025, ie 3 interest rate cuts (3 in December),
• No official does not believe that the cumulative interest rate reduction should be 100 basis points in 2025 (1 in December) and no authority should be 125 basis points in 2025 (1 in December).
• It will be difficult to determine the size of the impact of customs duties on inflation.
• Commodity inflation is rising and it is difficult to try to link it to the increase in customs duties.
• It is clear that customs duties are part of the factors that lead to inflation.
• The basic belief is that policy does not send a signal on customs duties, but this cannot be confirmed.
• This will depend on the rapid effect of customs duties on inflation and whether inflation expectations are effectively fixed.
• Sometimes it may be appropriate not to worry about temporary inflation.
• The basic belief is that policy does not send a signal on customs duties, but this cannot be confirmed.
• This will depend on the rapid effect of customs duties on inflation and whether inflation expectations are effectively fixed.
• Sometimes it may be appropriate not to worry about temporary inflation.
• The basic forecast is that inflation will be temporary.
• I don’t think the expected inflation in the long run will rise too much.
• Long -term inflation expectations remain horizontal or may decrease slightly.
• This year, more progress in inflation may be delayed.
• The relationship between survey data and real economic data is not very close.
• Survey data show that uncertainty and downward risks have increased significantly.
• We’re approaching price stability.

*It is not an investment advice.