To the west all over again – Observer

Donald Trump’s recent position on the Ukraine war in Ukraine has caused a shake on the foundations of the established international order, with his “shock waves” far surpassed the boundaries of the Russian-Ucranian conflict.

With the announced scope of ending an armed conflict that takes place on the European continent, Donald Trump not only ignored the European Union, but it was to extend his hand to the Putin aggressor gizing with these solutions to the end of the war, the default of Zelensky and the legitimate aspirations of the Ukrainians, in a clear reversal of the one who was the position of the US administration since the beginning of the conflict.

Ukraine now knows that it has lost an essential ally and one of the main sources of support for the acquisition of military equipment.

Europe, this, was “outdated on the right”… ..

But if Ukraine and Europe have been atonymous in the face of this unexpected reversal of US foreign policy, no less worried are the countries in the Indo-Pacific area.

Nations such as Japan, South Korea or Australia have always had an essential ally for the safety of that region to counterbalance the power and influence of China in the region, as well as the North Korean nuclear threat. Taiwan also fears for a long time for China’s invasion and has in US support the only guarantee of its independence.

Since the beginning of the Russian-Ucranian conflict that China has been monitoring the US response to that conflict, trying to realize the possible reactions of the United States of America and its Pacific Allies to a possible invasion of Taiwan.

The perception that the current US administration does not intend to contradict Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine, it may lead to China to risk testing an invasion of Taiwan and waiting to see the reaction of the United States of America and its allies in the region. In fact, Pacific security is militarily dependent on the support and intervention that the United States of America understands to provide.

Japan has since the end of World War II territorial disputes with China and Russia, respectively as to the Senkaku Islands and the so -called “North Territories”. And is permanently on the trajectory line of North Korean nuclear missile tests.

However, since the end of World War II that has been prevented from having military forces, by virtue of its constitution, having only the so -called “Japan self -defense forces” which has no capacity for itself of repeling a nuclear attack as it can be developed by North Korea.

Without US military support, Japan’s security is compromised. There is no wonder, therefore, that Japanese prime minister Shigeru Ishiba was one of the first heads of government to have met with Donald Trump after his inauguration, seeking to obtain commitments that the Indo-Pacific security cooperation will be to maintain. On the other hand, South Korea lives in the permanent anguish of a nuclear confrontation with North Korea. And despite not having the same constitutional restrictions as to the possibility of having military forces, it also depends on direct US support to ensure its defense. Therefore, the definition of the priorities of US foreign policy and its military safety and defense strategy for Indo-Pacific are not indifferent to South Korea.
In addition, a change in US foreign policy will have implications for platforms such as “Aukus” (Trilateral Security Pact celebrated between Australia, the United Kingdom and the United States of America) or “Quada” (Alliance between India, Australia, the United States of America and Japan), which constitute military alliances and dialogue forums to discuss and reinforce safety in Indo-Pacific.

Thus, not only in Ukraine and Europe but also in Indo-Pacific, the “next episodes” of Donald Trump’s “next episodes” are expected to expect, where everything sounds new and rupture.

The time of certainties seems to have ended up by “Uncle Sam” lands. The only certainty is uncertainty